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The mass-gathering event like Kumbh-Mela and Padharpur Wari fetches millions of crowd which makes the overall management a challenge. A temporary city needs to be established to accommodate the crowd with all infrastructure and facilities like roads and parking, electricity, sheds, toilet and sanitation, water supply, public announcement, mobile towers, sign boards and road maps, CCTV point, watch towers, police control rooms, medical assistance rooms, ambulance, fire-extinguishers and other disaster management arrangements, Bari catting –  fixed and movable etc. This is not possible without the perfect estimation of crowd and pattern. The researchers adopted very logical and structured estimation method for the Kumbh-Mela and forecasted the numbers and patterns of crowd as well as vehicles. The paper illustrates how the estimation and counting of pilgrims and vehicle was done before the actual Kumbh-Mela, at Trimbakeshwar, Nashik. It helped the Nagar Parishad planning the Kumbh-Mela successfully as estimation was close to the reality. The overall Kumbh-Mela was performed in disciplined and successful manner, without any chaos. There was no incidence of stampede, congestion, or no contagious diseases were observed. It explains the logical and structured estimation method which can be replicated to any mass-gathering mega event to plan and execute successful mega-events.

Keywords: Pilgrim, Estimation, Mega-event, Mass-gathering, Kumbh-Mela

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